With many precursors announced (only one industry one, the editors) and the shortlists recently revealed, these are closing in on our final predictions. Please note that due to time constraints with the shortlists releasing yesterday afternoon, the precursors and changes pages of the website have not been updated but may be completed later today. For now, enjoy our predictions.

KEY:

Introductions

Wesley Lovell: The critics’ prizes are giving us a preview of what may play well with the Academy but there are still many question marks. We also have the shortlists, so this is my first full list of nominations for the year. Wicked really picked up steam with its box office victory and the strong reviews while Blitz and Gladiator II faded into near-obscurity. Quite a few changes this go around with lots of new potential nominees added and quite a few hopeless prospects removed.
Pete Patrick: As the precursors continue to announce their choices, things are starting to become clear.
Thomas LaTourette: The Golden Globes and the Critics Choice Award nominations clear up some knotty issues but also muddy the water too. That and yesterday’s release of the Oscar short lists at least narrow the gaps some, but there are not a lot of front runners in many categories. Several nominations feel set with surprisingly little movement from last month’s predictions. Wicked looks to be a major player now, but some doubt still remains over whether director Jon M. Chu will get a directing nomination. If he does not, will that hamper the chances of the film winning best picture? Emilia Pérez, Conclave, The Brutalist, and Anora are primed to score multiple nominations, starting with best picture, director, and at least one acting nom. Dune: Part Two should do well in the technical categories in addition to a best picture nomination. A Complete Unknown may have waited too long to release which may hurt its chances for more than a couple of acting noms, though it might surprise with some across the board love. With a month to go, there is plenty of time for things to change. Emilia Pérez wowed with a record number of Golden Globe nominations and also did well with the Academy short list, but will it be able to capitalize on that? The Substance got a lot of love from the Globes and perhaps that could lead to a surprise nomination for Demi Moore. With awards from GG and CC occurring before the nominations happen for the Oscars could sway some races. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out over the next few weeks.

Best Picture

WLPPTL Anora
WLPPTL The Brutalist
WLPPTL A Complete Unknown
WLPPTL Conclave
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Nickel Boys
WLPPTL A Real Pain
WLPPTL September 5
WLPPTL Sing Sing
WLPPTL The Substance
WLPPTL Wicked

Best Animated Feature

WLPPTL Flow
WLPPTL Inside Out 2
WLPPTL Memoir of a Snail
WLPPTL Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
WLPPTL The Wild Robot

Best Directing

WLPPTL Anora – Sean Baker
WLPPTL The Brutalist – Brady Corbet
WLPPTL A Complete Unknown – James Mangold
WLPPTL Conclave – Edward Berger
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez – Jacques Audiard
WLPPTL The Substance – Coralie Fargeat
WLPPTL Wicked – Jon M. Chu

Best Actor

WLPPTL Adrien Brody – The Brutalist
WLPPTL Timothée Chalamet – A Complete Unknown
WLPPTL Daniel Craig – Queer
WLPPTL Colman Domingo – Sing Sing
WLPPTL Ralph Fiennes – Conclave

Best Actress

WLPPTL Cynthia Erivo – Wicked
WLPPTL Karla Sofia Gascon – Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Marianne Jean-Baptiste – Hard Truths
WLPPTL Angelina Jolie – Maria
WLPPTL Nicole Kidman – Babygirl
WLPPTL Mikey Madison – Anora
WLPPTL Demi Moore – The Substance

Best Supporting Actor

WLPPTL Yura Borisov – Anora
WLPPTL Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain
WLPPTL Clarence Maclin – Sing Sing
WLPPTL Guy Pearce – The Brutalist
WLPPTL Stanley Tucci – Conclave
WLPPTL Denzel Washington – Gladiator II

Best Supporting Actress

WLPPTL Danielle Deadwyler – The Piano Lesson
WLPPTL Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor – Nickel Boys
WLPPTL Ariana Grande – Wicked
WLPPTL Felicity Jones – The Brutalist
WLPPTL Margaret Qualley – The Substance
WLPPTL Isabella Rossellini – Conclave
WLPPTL Zoe Saldaña – Emilia Pérez

Best Original Screenplay

WLPPTL Anora
WLPPTL Babygirl
WLPPTL The Brutalist
WLPPTL Hard Truths
WLPPTL A Real Pain
WLPPTL September 5
WLPPTL The Substance

Best Adapted Screenplay

WLPPTL A Complete Unknown
WLPPTL Conclave
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL I’m Still Here
WLPPTL Nickel Boys
WLPPTL Sing Sing
WLPPTL Wicked

Best Original Song

WLPPTL Beyond – Moana 2
WLPPTL Compress/Repress – Challengers
WLPPTL Forbidden Road – Better Man
WLPPTL The Journey – The Six Triple Eight
WLPPTL Kiss the Sky – The Wild Robot
WLPPTL Like a Bird – Sing Sing
WLPPTL El Mal – Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Mi Camino – Emilia Pérez

Best Original Score

WLPPTL The Brutalist
WLPPTL Challengers
WLPPTL Conclave
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Wicked
WLPPTL The Wild Robot

Best Film Editing

WLPPTL Anora
WLPPTL The Brutalist
WLPPTL Challengers
WLPPTL Conclave
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Sing Sing

Best Cinematography

WLPPTL The Brutalist
WLPPTL Conclave
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Maria
WLPPTL Nickel Boys
WLPPTL Wicked

Best Production Design

WLPPTL Blitz
WLPPTL The Brutalist
WLPPTL Conclave
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Gladiator II
WLPPTL The Substance
WLPPTL Wicked

Best Costume Design

WLPPTL The Brutalist
WLPPTL Conclave
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Gladiator II
WLPPTL Maria
WLPPTL Nosferatu
WLPPTL Wicked

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

WLPPTL Beetlejuice Beetlejuice
WLPPTL A Different Man
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Nosferatu
WLPPTL The Substance
WLPPTL Wicked

Best Sound

WLPPTL Blitz
WLPPTL A Complete Unknown
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez
WLPPTL Gladiator II
WLPPTL Wicked

Best Visual Effects

WLPPTL Better Man
WLPPTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTL Gladiator II
WLPPTL Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
WLPPTL Mufasa: The Lion King
WLPPTL Twisters
WLPPTL Wicked

Best International Feature

WLPPTL Dahomey – Senegal
WLPPTL Emilia Pérez – France
WLPPTL Flow – Latvia
WLPPTL The Girl with the Needle – Denmark
WLPPTL I’m Still Here – Brazil
WLPPTL The Seed of the Sacred Fig – Germany
WLPPTL Vermiglio – Italy

Best Documentary Feature

WLPPTL Dahomey
WLPPTL Daughters
WLPPTL Frida
WLPPTL No Other Land
WLPPTL The Remarkable Life of Ibelin
WLPPTL Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat
WLPPTL Sugarcane
WLPPTL Will & Harper

Best Documentary Short Subject

WLPPTL Chasing Roo
WLPPTL Death by Numbers
WLPPTL I Am Ready, Warden
WLPPTL Instruments of a Beating Heart
WLPPTL Keeper
WLPPTL Makayla’s Voice: A Letter to the World
WLPPTL Once Upon a Time in Ukraine
WLPPTL The Only Girl in the Orchestra
WLPPTL Seat 31: Zooey Zephyr
WLPPTL The Only Girl in the Orchestra
WLPPTL Until He’s Back

Best Animated Short Film

WLPPTL Au Revoir Mon Monde
WLPPTL A Bear Named Wojtek
WLPPTL Bottle George
WLPPTL Magic Candies
WLPPTL Maybe Elephants
WLPPTL Me
WLPPTL Origami
WLPPTL Wander to Wonder

Best Live Action Short Film

WLPPTL Anuja
WLPPTL Clodagh
WLPPTL The Compatriot
WLPPTL Crust
WLPPTL Dovecote
WLPPTL Edge of Space
WLPPTL The Ice Cream Man
WLPPTL The Last Ranger
WLPPTL A Lien
WLPPTL The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent
WLPPTL The Masterpiece
WLPPTL An Orange from Jaffa
WLPPTL Paris 70