Box Office History (Week 10, 2026)
See Awards Season from a New Perspective
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Box Office History (Week 10, 2026)
Every week, we’ll take a look back at how Oscar-nominated films performed at the box office. Due to the lack of data prior to 1980, some of these early years may have minimal information. From the mid-1990s back to 1980, the data exists, but is sometimes spotty. Everything after that should be accurate. We’ll look
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Path to Oscar 2025: Actor
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ll adjust our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, Screen Actors Guild. Below are our predictions in Best Actor. Best Actor Winner Predictions Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle
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Oscar History: March 9 (2026)
Here’s what happened today in Oscar History. Born 1891: George Froeschel (88 at death) {2 Noms, 1 Win} Oscar Nominations: Screenplay Oscar Win: Screenplay 1892: Arthur Caesar (61 at death) {1 Nom, 1 Win} Oscar Nomination: Original Story Oscar Win: Original Story 1900: Loren L. Ryder (85 at death) {14 Noms, 8 Wins} Oscar Nominations:
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40th Society of Cinematographers Awards
While not what I predicted, these choices weren’t entirely unexpected either. The Awards Best Cinematography One Battle After Another WL PP Documentary Cinematography Nil 2000 Meters from Andriivka WL PP TL Spotlight Award Nil Orphan WL TL American Society of Cinematographers Data Year Founded: 1919 First Awards: 1986 (40)
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78th Writers Guild Awards
All expected winners, the WGA is likely going to match the Oscars 100% this year. The Awards Best Original Screenplay Sinners WL PP TL Best Adapted Screenplay One Battle After Another WL PP TL Documentary Screenplay Nil 2000 Meters to Andriivka WL PP TL Writers Guild of America Data Year Founded: 1933 First Awards: 1948
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73rd Motion Picture Sound Editors Awards
Several unexpected choices this year setting up a competition for the Oscar between Cinema Audio Society winner F1 and the three nominees that won here, Frankenstein, Sinners, and Sirât. Awards Tallies (2) Sinners (1) Bill Joel: And So It Goes: Part 1, Deaf President Now!, Frankenstein, Sirât, Zootopia 2 The Awards Best Sound Editing: Feature
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33rd Cinema Audio Society Awards
No surprises from the sound designers. The Awards Best Sound Mixing – Live Action F1 WL TL Best Sound Mixing – Animated KPop Demon Hunters WL PP TL Best Sound Mixing – Documentary Becoming Led Zeppelin WL TL Cinema Audio Society Data Year Founded: 1964 First Awards: 1993 (33)
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Oscar History: March 8 (2026)
Here’s what happened today in Oscar History. Born 1903: D’Eaubonne (67 at death) {1 Nom, 0 Wins} Oscar Nomination: Art Direction/Production Design (Black-and-White) 1909: Stuart Gilmore (62 at death) {3 Noms, 0 Wins} Oscar Nominations: Editing 1910: Claire Trevor (90 at death) {3 Noms, 1 Win} Oscar Nominations: Supporting Actress Oscar Win: Supporting Actress 1913:
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Oscar History: March 7 (2026)
Here’s what happened today in Oscar History. Born 1885: Ernest Miller (72 at death) {1 Nom, 0 Wins} Oscar Nomination: Cinematography 1908: Anna Magnani (65 at death) {2 Noms, 1 Win} Oscar Nominations: Actress Oscar Win: Actress 1913: Liam O’Brien (83 at death) {1 Nom, 0 Wins} Oscar Nomination: Motion Picture Story 1914: Morton Da
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Predictions: Motion Picture Sound Editors
Although there’s no Sound Editing Oscar any longer, this will likely give us a clue as to which Best Sound nominees at the Oscars have a chance. MOTION PICTURE SOUND EDITORS AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Best Sound Editing: Feature Effects /
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Predictions: American Society of Cinematographers
With a perfect match record for nominations, we could also be seeing the Oscar winner selected. AMERICAN SOCIETY OF CINEMATOGRAPHERS AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Best Cinematography Frankenstein Nil Marty Supreme Nil One Battle After Another WL PP Sinners WL PP TL
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17th GALECA Awards
A largely uninteresting batch of winners with nothing terribly egregious but nothing terribly exciting either. Good pick on Tim Curry though. Awards Tallies (6) Sinners (2) Weapons (1) Come See Me in the Good Light, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You, KPop Demon Hunters, Misericordia, The Perfect Neighbor, Peter Hujar’s Day, Pillion, Sentimental Value,
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Predictions: Writers Guild of America
With their arcane rules, these won’t be terribly predictive unless the two Oscar frontrunners come up short here. WRITERS GUILD OF AMERICA AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Best Original Screenplay Black Bag Nil If I Had Legs I’d Kick You Nil Marty
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Predictions: Cinema Audio Society
The primary guild that links up to the Best Sound prize should give us some indication of the strength of its nominees going into the Oscars. CINEMA AUDIO SOCIETY AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Best Sound Mixing – Live Action F1 WL
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Path to Oscar 2025: Actress
We’re looking at each individual category for the Oscars and what our thoughts are going into the final stretch. We’ll adjust our thoughts based on the precursor associated with this category, Screen Actors Guild. Below are our predictions in Best Actress. Best Actress Winner Predictions Jessie Buckley – Hamnet (WL) (PP) (TL) Rose Byrne –
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