June Predictions

We’re back with our first updated predictions of the year. There wasn’t a lot of movement, but one film that suddenly pulled into the competition is Cannes winner The Zone of Interest, which features in several new predictions this month. We’re taking the categories from our last slate in May and added the screenwriting categories this month. Next month, we’ll be adding in Animated Feature and Visual Effects.

As soon as the page is ready, we’ll have predictions from Wesley, Pete, and Thomas in all categories except Original Song, International Feature, the documentary categories, and short film categories. Keep your eyes peeled for that one.

KEY:

Introductions

Wesley Lovell: Not a lot of changes were made, mostly just removing non-contenders from the rolls and most of those were in the craft categories. The only change I made in the highlighted categories this month was in Best Supporting Actress where Lily Gladstone replaces Emily Blunt. Beyond that, not a lot of changes.
Pete Patrick: We still don’t know what we still don’t know. I’m moving Carey Mulligan in Maestro from Supporting Actress to lead although either is possible. On the other hand, I’m sticking with Lily Gladstone in Killers of the Flower Moon in support for now. I’m removing Steve McQueen’s Blitz from my predictions as this is beginning to look more like a 2024 release.
Tripp Burton: I don’t have a whole lot to say at this point. These are mostly pure guesses!
Thomas LaTourette: There are not too many changes from my last predictions as we still have not seen most of the movies. Asteroid City did not open to good reviews, so it is probably off of the list of possibilities. Jonathan Majors is being tried for domestic abuse, which will have scuttled his Oscar chances. I am starting to wonder if the ongoing writers’ strike will affect some of the films that may still been in production for a late year release. Will have to wait and see how that goes.

Best Picture

WLPPTBTL Air
WLPPTBTL Asteroid City
WLPPTBTL Barbie
WLPPTBTL The Color Purple
WLPPTBTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTBTL The Holdovers
WLPPTBTL The Killer
WLPPTBTL Killers of the Flower Moon
WLPPTBTL Maestro
WLPPTBTL May December
WLPPTBTL Napoleon
WLPPTBTL Next Goal Wins
WLPPTBTL Oppenheimer
WLPPTBTL Past Lives
WLPPTBTL Saltburn
WLPPTBTL A Thousand and One
WLPPTBTL The Zone of Interest

Best Directing

WLPPTBTL Anatomy of a Fall – Justine Triet
WLPPTBTL Barbie – Greta Gerwig
WLPPTBTL The Color Purple – Blitz Bazawule
WLPPTBTL Dune: Part Two – Denis Villeneuve
WLPPTBTL The Holdovers – Alexander Payne
WLPPTBTL Killers of the Flower Moon – Martin Scorsese
WLPPTBTL Maestro – Bradley Cooper
WLPPTBTL Napoleon – Ridley Scott
WLPPTBTL Next Goal Wins – Taika Waititi
WLPPTBTL Oppenheimer – Christopher Nolan
WLPPTBTL Saltburn – Emerald Fennell
WLPPTBTL The Zone of Interest – Jonathan Glazer

Best Actor

WLPPTBTL Kingsley Ben-Adair – Bob Marley: One Love
WLPPTBTL Bradley Cooper – Maestro
WLPPTBTL Leonardo DiCaprio – Killers of the Flower Moon
WLPPTBTL Colman Domingo – Rustin
WLPPTBTL Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers
WLPPTBTL Barry Keoghan – Saltburn
WLPPTBTL Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer

Best Actress

WLPPTBTL Fantasia Barrino – The Color Purple
WLPPTBTL Annette Bening – Nyad
WLPPTBTL Penélope Cruz – L’Immensitá
WLPPTBTL Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
WLPPTBTL Sandra Hüller – Anatomy of a Fall
WLPPTBTL Sandra Hüller – The Zone of Interest
WLPPTBTL Greta Lee – Past Lives
WLPPTBTL Helen Mirren – Golda
WLPPTBTL Carey Mulligan – Maestro
WLPPTBTL Natalie Portman – May December
WLPPTBTL Teyana Taylor – A Thousand and One

Best Supporting Actor

WLPPTBTL Willem Dafoe – Poor Things
WLPPTBTL Matt Damon – Oppenheimer
WLPPTBTL Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon
WLPPTBTL Colman Domingo – The Color Purple
WLPPTBTL Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer
WLPPTBTL Jacob Elordi – Saltburn
WLPPTBTL Ryan Gosling – Barbie
WLPPTBTL Brian Tyree Henry – Flint Strong
WLPPTBTL Samuel L. Jackson – The Piano Lesson
WLPPTBTL John Magaro – Past Lives
WLPPTBTL Charles Melton – May December
WLPPTBTL Gary Oldman – Oppenheimer
WLPPTBTL Jesse Plemons – Killers of the Flower Moon
WLPPTBTL Dar Salim – Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant

Supporting Actress

WLPPTBTL Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple
WLPPTBTL Viola Davis – Air
WLPPTBTL America Ferrera – Dumb Money
WLPPTBTL Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon
WLPPTBTL Taraji P. Henson – The Color Purple
WLPPTBTL Vanessa Kirby – Napoleon
WLPPTBTL Julianne Moore – May December
WLPPTBTL Elisabeth Moss – Next Goal Wins
WLPPTBTL Carey Mulligan – Saltburn
WLPPTBTL Rosamund Pike – Saltburn
WLPPTBTL Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers

Original Screenplay

WLPPTBTL Anatomy of a Fall
WLPPTBTL Asteroid City
WLPPTBTL Barbie
WLPPTBTL The Holdovers
WLPPTBTL Maestro
WLPPTBTL May December
WLPPTBTL Napoleon
WLPPTBTL Past Lives
WLPPTBTL Saltburn
WLPPTBTL A Thousand and One

Adapted Screenplay

WLPPTBTL Barbie
WLPPTBTL The Color Purple
WLPPTBTL Dumb Money
WLPPTBTL Dune: Part Two
WLPPTBTL The Killer
WLPPTBTL Killers of the Flower Moon
WLPPTBTL Next Goal Wins
WLPPTBTL Oppenheimer
WLPPTBTL Poor Things
WLPPTBTL The Zone of Interest