Category: AL Precursors
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Predictions: USC Scripter Award
The USC Scripter Award is one of the few non-guilds targeting a specific Oscar category. With the Writers Guild of America having restrictive rules that leave some competitors out, the USC Scripter can often foreshadow some underrecognized scripts. That said, their winner selection is less accurate. We’ll see if they go with current wisdom or…
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Predictions: Spirit Awards
The Spirit Awards are the penultimate multi-discipline group to announce awards and while they don’t usually forecast the Oscars (unless most of the Oscar nominees are listed), they can provide an interesting look at how indie-minded voters are feeling. SPIRIT AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette Runner-Up Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete…
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Predictions: Screen Actors Guild
Career awards have been known to happen at the Screen Actors Guild but for the most part, they can often indicate enthusiasm for a particular title. The winners here will either confirm longstanding predictions or upset the apple cart like BAFTA did in some regards. SCREEN ACTORS GUILD AWARDS Legend: Winner Predictions: Wesley Lovell Pete…
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7th Latino Journalists Awards
A surprisingly conventional list of winners with the Best Picture win by Sing Sing the only genuine surprise. AwardsTallies (2) Challengers, Conclave, Dune: Part Two, Emilia Pérez, I’m Still Here, Sing Sing, The Substance, Wicked (1) Blink Twice, The Brutalist, The Fall Guy, Flow, Frida, Hit Man, Los Frikis, Nickel Boys, Nosferatu, A Real Pain,…
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52nd Saturn Awards
As a curiosity, these are interesting. As an Oscar forecaster, they aren’t much good, though Demi Moore and The Wild Robot are in good company. Awards Tallies (4) Beetlejuice Beetlejuice, Deadpool & Wolverine, Dune: Part Two (2) The Substance (1) Alien: Romulus, Dream Scenario, Godzilla Minus One, Late Night with the Devil, Longlegs, Strange Darling,…
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65th British Academy Awards
BAFTA voters have confirmed some of our suspicions but also thrown a gear into the works of several categories. Three of the four acting winners are likely to repeat at the Oscars, though if Brody loses at SAG, that could create a different narrative. Conclave proved more appealing than Anora, which makes sense considering the…
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29th Satellite Awards
While there are some similarities to the Golden Globes, there are quite a few differences. Interesting that Anora won the comedy category but won nothing else while Wicked came out on top for the number of awards but didn’t get a top prize. Strange times. Awards Tallies (4) Wicked (3) The Brutalist (2) Dune: Part…
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29th Art Directors Guild Awards
Winners or runners-up were chosen at the ADG and it’s clear that period and fantasy were more important than architectural interests. The Brutalist winning the Oscar hinged upon its success here. There Will Be Blood and Lincoln have similar profiles with the former winning the ADG and the latter not. This doesn’t tell us which…
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5th Make-Up Artists Guild Awards
An expected line-up of winners. If there is a competition for the Oscars, it will be The Substance versus Wicked, but it’s that special make-up effects category that will likely determine the final outcome. Awards Tallies (2) The Substance, Wicked (1) The Last Showgirl The Awards Best Special Make-up Effects The Substance WL PP TL…
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77th Writers Guild Awards
The winners are out and it looks like things went exactly as expected. Not much to see here except that Anora will secure its place in Oscar history while the competition between Nickel Boys and the non-nominated Conclave will come down to the wire. The Awards Best Original Screenplay Anora WL PP TL Best Adapted…