Category: Predictions
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Path to Oscar 2023: International Feature
We begin this year’s Path to Oscar category analyses with one of the few categories a guild organization doesn’t reflect/impact. In this case, we’ll be on our own to read the precursor tea leaves and make a choice based on that. Best International Feature Winner Predictions Io Capitano Perfect Days Society of the Snow The…
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Predictions: Art Directors Guild
While the Art Directors Guild has some indication that a win can further a film’s Oscar ambitions, they also have three categories that could impact voting depending on the results. ART DIRECTORS GUILD AWARDS Best Period Art Direction Asteroid City (RU:Wesley) Killers of the Flower Moon (Peter, RU:Thomas) Maestro Napoleon Oppenheimer (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter) Wesley…
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Predictions: Directors Guild of America
This is the first major guild to announce winners this year and it could tell us a lot about what’s going through the minds of Oscar voters. DIRECTORS GUILD OF AMERICA AWARDS Best Director Greta Gerwig – Barbie (RU:Wesley) Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer (Wesley, Peter, Thomas) Alexander Payne – The…
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Predictions: 96th Oscars
Now that we’ve had time to review the nominations and get a reading on the landscape, here are our first winner predictions of the 96th Oscars. INTRODUCTIONS Wesley Lovell: I’ve put together my first predictions and first thoughts on the race and while some of these races may well be over, there are a few…
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2023 Nomination Predictions: Our Statistics
Based on our nominations predictions, here’s how we did. Let’s start out with this year’s winner, Thomas La Tourrette, who managed 88 correct predictions out of 120. Wesley Lovell followed closely with 87. Pete came in third with 77 and Tripp, who didn’t predict 5 categories since he called it a day prior to the…
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Oscar Morning: Final Nomination Thoughts
Tomorrow morning, the nominations for the 96th Academy Awards will be announced. They’ll be revealed by TV stars Zazie Beetz (Atlanta, Deadpool 2) and Jack Quaid (The Boys, Star Trek: Lower Decks). Before the nominations are announced, I wanted to put down in writing my thoughts on this year’s categories and how I came to…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: Final
And here we have our final nominations predictions for 2024. While things seem to have coalesced, the coalescing doesn’t seem to have turned out exactly the same way for all of us, so while we have a lot of identical predictions, we also have some off-the-wall choices. KEY: Appears on Four Lists Appears on Three…
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Predictions: Critics Choice Awards
It’s time for the Critics Choice Awards. Who will win? Will they be the Oscar frontrunners or ephemeral critics’ picks? Bet on the former, but hope for the latter. CRITICS CHOICE AWARDS Introductions Wesley Lovell: I always have a hard time mustering interest in this group’s selections. Sure, they are ostensibly a critics organization, but…
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Predictions: Golden Globe Awards
The first televised awards show of the season is the reformed Golden Globe Awards. While they are still ostensibly voted on by members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, the HFPA no longer controls the awards, which are now a corporation of their own. How will that affect the outcomes? We won’t really know until…
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2023 Nominations Predictions: December
With most of the major critics groups announcing nominations along with a few of the other star-hugging precursors, we now await the shortlists (Thursday) and the beginning of the deluge of guild organizations. Things may change still, but our predictors will be on top of it with our last set of nominations, the full slate,…