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The only guild that formally recognizes documentaries as a whole is the Producers Guild of America.

Best Documentary Feature

Winner Predictions

20 Days in Mariupol WLPPTL
Bobi Wine: The People’s President
The Eternal Memory
Four Daughters
To Kill a Tiger

Runner-Up Predictions

Four Daughters WLPPTL

(color and symbol key at bottom of page)

Wesley Lovell: With the various precursors going several ways, there is no consistent winner that seems destined. Looking at the content, the one that seems to have the most potential, 20 Days in Mariupol, is my prediction. Any of the other four could win, so my runner-up selection is far from destined to win if 20 Days does not. That said, Four Daughters has some acclaim behind it (especially the International Feature shortlist) that suggests it could be a surprise winner.
Pete Patrick: 20 Days in Mariupol, the lauded documentary about the early days of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, should continue its awards domination here.
Thomas La Tourrette: Of the nominated documentaries, 20 Days in Mariupol has by far the most precursor wins, so it should easily win the Oscar. I have not had much a chance to see them yet, though I have heard good things about all of them. They have all been well reviewed and well-liked by audiences. Four Daughters may lose some votes due to recreated scenes which will probably keep it from pulling an upset win. Look for the harrowing 20 Days in Mariupol to win.

KEY:

Appears on Four Lists
Appears on Three Lists
Appears on Two Lists
Appears on One Lists

Wesley Lovell Peter Patrick Tripp Burton Thomas LaTourrette