They have become one of the most prescient precursors out there. Can they clarify some of the races this year?

BRITISH ACADEMY OF FILM & TELEVISION ARTS AWARDS

Legend:

Winner Predictions:
Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette

Runner-Up Predictions:
Wesley Lovell Pete Patrick Thomas LaTourrette

Best Film

Anora WL
The Brutalist WL PP TL
A Complete Unknown Nil
Conclave PP TL
Emilia Pérez Nil

Wesley Lovell: Will this be a proxy race for the Oscar? Possibly. All of the primary contenders are here. The Brutalist must win here if it hopes to overcome the Anora win at the PGA. If Anora wins, then show is over.
Pete Patrick: The U.K./U.S. co-production of Conclave should win this one over The Brutalist and Anora.
Thomas La Tourrette: Even though Anora just got the Critics Choice and PGA awards, it feels like too much of an American film to win in Britain. Conclave seems the safer bet.

Best Animated Film

Flow WL PP TL
Inside Out 2 Nil
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl TL
The Wild Robot WL PP

Wesley Lovell: You can probably just declare all of these categories as proxy Oscar contests. This will likely determine the eventual Oscar winner. The Boy and the Heron surprised here and claimed the Oscar, so a Flow win, which seems the more arty choice with this group, will shake things up there.
Pete Patrick: This should follow most other awards in this category with The Wild Robot winning over Flow.  Nothing else has a chance.
Thomas La Tourrette: The European-made Flow seems the likely winner of these.

Best Director

Jacques Audiard – Emilia Pérez Nil
Sean Baker – Anora WL PP
Edward Berger – Conclave TL
Brady Corbet – The Brutalist WL PP TL
Coralie Fargeat – The Substance Nil
Denis Villeneuve – Dune: Part Two Nil

Wesley Lovell: If Sean Baker can win at DGA, he can win here as well. That said, The Brutalist is a Capital-I-Important film. If this were the Oscars of the 1990s or earlier, it would be an easy win but the film industry and Oscar has shifted towards the arty, so Baker has a really good shot at claiming this.
Pete Patrick: Edward Berger is a recent winner so this one will probably go the way of most recent decisions to either Corbet or Baker, but more likely Corbet for the more ambitious project.
Thomas La Tourrette: Sean Baker just won the Directors Guild award for Anora, but I see him having less of a chance here. Brady Corbet or Edward Berger seem more likely to prevail.

Best Actor

Adrien Brody – The Brutalist WL PP TL
Timothée Chalamet – A Complete Unknown WL TL
Colman Domingo – Sing Sing Nil
Ralph Fiennes – Conclave PP
Hugh Grant – Heretic Nil
Sebastian Stan – The Apprentice Nil

Wesley Lovell: This is where Timothée Chalamet rockets to the front of the race. His impersonation is spot on and as past winners have proven, they love that. That said, Brody didn’t win here but won the Oscar. That could give them the encouragement to give Brody a prize. That will doom Chalamet’s chances though.
Pete Patrick: This is Fiennes’ best chance at winning anywhere this year with Brody the most likely winner if he fails to do so.
Thomas La Tourrette: Adrien Brody should continue his dominance winning here too.

Best Actress

Cynthia Erivo – Wicked Nil
Karla Sofía Gascón – Emilia Pérez Nil
Marianne Jean-Baptiste – Hard Truths WL PP TL
Mikey Madison – Anora Nil
Demi Moore – The Substance WL PP TL
Saoirse Ronan – The Outrun Nil

Wesley Lovell: Demi Moore is currently in the lead but Marianne Jean-Baptiste was a strong player in the critics prizes. It’s unfortunate she didn’t get an Oscar nomination but that might be to her benefit here earning her a prize she might not have won otherwise.
Pete Patrick: Jean-Baptiste is poised to win her first major award since the one-two-three punch of the N.Y.-L.A.-NSFC wins that began the season.  If not, Demi Moore has an acceptance speech waiting to be read.
Thomas La Tourrette: Demi Moore has been on a streak lately and I could see that continuing here. The local Marianne Jean-Baptiste could be the one to pull an upset.

Best Supporting Actor

Yura Borisov – Anora Nil
Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain WL PP TL
Clarence Maclin – Sing Sing Nil
Edward Norton – A Complete Unknown Nil
Guy Pearce – The Brutalist WL PP TL
Jeremy Strong – The Apprentice Nil

Wesley Lovell: Kieran Culkin seems to be the only invulnerable candidate this year so he should expect to win easily.
Pete Patrick: Should be Culkin, but if there’s an upset, British-born Pearce would seem to be the likely recipient.
Thomas La Tourrette: Kieran Culkin has been winning the lion’s share of awards, and that seems likely to continue, though Guy Pierce will perhaps make a race out of it.

Best Supporting Actress

Selena Gomez – Emilia Pérez Nil
Ariana Grande-Butera – Wicked Nil
Felicity Jones – The Brutalist Nil
Jamie Lee Curtis – The Last Showgirl Nil
Isabella Rossellini – Conclave WL PP TL
Zoe Saldaña – Emilia Pérez WL PP TL

Wesley Lovell: Almost the entire Oscar slate is here and the ones who can win are in place. Expect a battle between Zoe and Isabella.
Pete Patrick: Saldaña has been the front-runner in this category all season long – it’s time to shake things up.  Rossellini is my prediction to do just that.
Thomas La Tourrette: Zoe Saldaña is the likely person to win this award, though if anyone pulls an upset I could see it being Isabella Rossellini.

Best Original Screenplay

Anora WL PP TL
The Brutalist Nil
Kneecap TL
A Real Pain WL PP
The Substance Nil

Wesley Lovell: Anora will likely win this even if it doesn’t win Best Picture or Directing.
Pete Patrick: No shake-up here, Anora should win with A Real Pain next in line. 
Thomas La Tourrette: It is a very American story, but Anora is likely to win unless they go for the more local Kneecap.

Best Adapted Screenplay

A Complete Unknown PP
Conclave WL PP TL
Emilia Pérez TL
Nickel Boys WL
Sing Sing Nil

Wesley Lovell: Conclave is probably the safe choice but Nickel Boys could give it a run for its money. That said, BAFTA voters didn’t seem to care for it, so I double things will be different.
Pete Patrick: Conclave should win this one easily with A Complete Unknown having an outside possibility.
Thomas La Tourrette: Conclave should be the easy winner here.

Best Original Score

The Brutalist WL PP TL
Conclave PP TL
Emilia Pérez WL
Nosferatu Nil
The Wild Robot Nil

Wesley Lovell: This will be the first genuine test of the Emilia Pérez backlash.
Pete Patrick: Let’s continue the predicted wins for Conclave with The Brutalist a strong runner-up.
Thomas La Tourrette: The Brutalist, Conclave, and The Wild Robot had the most memorable score of these nominees, but I could see The Brutalist coming out on top.

Best Editing

Anora WL PP
Conclave PP TL
Dune: Part Two TL
Emilia Pérez WL
Kneecap Nil

Wesley Lovell: Anora seems like the most exciting editing of this bunch but the musical could overcome.
Pete Patrick: Either Conclave or Anora could take this one.
Thomas La Tourrette: Conclave is the likely winner.

Best Cinematography

The Brutalist WL TL
Conclave PP
Dune: Part Two Nil
Emilia Pérez Nil
Nosferatu WL PP TL

Wesley Lovell: The Brutalist has to win this to get the Oscar and I think it will. I don’t count out either Dune: Part Two or Nosferatu.
Pete Patrick: I’ll stick with Conclave for this one, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Nosferatu pulls off a win. 
Thomas La Tourrette: The Brutalist seems to be the Oscar front runner, and I could see it prevailing here too.

Best Production Design

The Brutalist WL PP
Conclave PP
Dune: Part Two Nil
Nosferatu TL
Wicked WL TL

Wesley Lovell: Period fantasy or just plain period. That’s what the group must decide. Conclave and Dune: Part Two are probably not in the race. The Brutalist is about those brutalist interiors but Wicked just has a ton of creative energy. It may be close.
Pete Patrick: The Brutalist probably has its name on this one with Conclave and Wicked well behind.
Thomas La Tourrette: Wicked should easily win.

Best Costume Design

Blitz Nil
A Complete Unknown Nil
Conclave Nil
Nosferatu WL PP TL
Wicked WL PP TL

Wesley Lovell: Wicked is the odds-on favorite to win. Nosferatu is its nearest competitor and if there’s any reticence to honor Wicked, then that’s the way they will go.
Pete Patrick: This should be an easy win for Wicked with Nosferatu a distant second.
Thomas La Tourrette: Again, Wicked should easily win.

Best Makeup & Hair

Dune: Part Two Nil
Emilia Pérez WL
Nosferatu Nil
The Substance WL PP TL
Wicked PP TL

Wesley Lovell: The Substance likely has no competition in this one.
Pete Patrick: Probably The Substance, but I wouldn’t completely rule out Wicked.
Thomas La Tourrette: The Substance has been winning the most precursors and should here too.

Best Sound

Blitz Nil
Dune: Part Two WL PP TL
Gladiator II Nil
The Substance Nil
Wicked WL PP TL

Wesley Lovell: An interesting competition here Dune: Part Two proved less impressive this awards season than expected while Wicked has performed decently. That said, I see no reason to believe Dune won’t still take this but it might be close.
Pete Patrick: This is more likely go to a musical than a sci-fi sequel so it should be Wicked over Dune: Part Two.
Thomas La Tourrette: I am thinking that the musical work in Wicked should win, though both Blitz and Dune: Part Two stand a chance of sneaking past it.

Best Special Visual Effects

Better Man Nil
Dune: Part Two WL PP TL
Gladiator II Nil
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes WL PP TL
Wicked Nil

Wesley Lovell: Before the VES gave their prize to Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, I would have said this was an easy win for Dune: Part Two, now I’m not so sure. That said, I’ll still give Dune the edge but a different outcome here will jeopardize its Oscar chances tremendously.
Pete Patrick: This one seems to be a contest between two sci-fi sequels with Dune: Part Two the more impressive. 
Thomas La Tourrette: Dune: Part Two seems the likely winner, but it will be interesting to see how the British Academy votes on this.

Best Film Not in the English Language

All We Imagine as Light PP
Emilia Pérez WL TL
I’m Still Here WL PP TL
Kneecap Nil
The Seed of the Sacred Fig Nil

Wesley Lovell: The only other true test of the Emilia Pérez backlash will be if it loses here to any of these strong contenders. Kneecap could prove a spoiler but almost every single one of these titles could win. It will be an interesting night.
Pete Patrick: With Emilia Pérez seemingly dead in the water, this should be between the Brazilian I’m Still Here and the Indian All We Imagine as Light.  I give the edge to the former.
Thomas La Tourrette: Emilia Pérez has been faltering in the United States, but I could see this French-made film winning here. If it falters, then I’m Still Here would be the most likely beneficiary.

Best Documentary

Black Box Diaries Nil
Daughters TL
No Other Land WL PP TL
Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story WL PP
Will & Harper Nil

Wesley Lovell: Two of these are Oscar nominees. Three are not. Will they go with the season leader Super/Man or try to forecast an Oscar win for No Other Land. Considering current geopolitical issues, it might just go to the Oscar nominee.
Pete Patrick: I’m thinking the provocative No Other Land over the heartfelt Super/Man but I could be wrong.
Thomas La Tourrette: The timely No Other Land would seem the most likely winner.

Best British Short Animation

Adiós WL
Mog’s Christmas PP TL
Wander to Wonder WL PP TL

Wesley Lovell: Wander to Wonder is the animated arling of the short film season, so I expect it to continue its winning ways.
Pete Patrick: Wander to Wonder for the win, Mog’s Christmas would be as good as any as runner-up.
Thomas La Tourrette: Oscar nominee Wander to Wonder would seem to have the best chance of winning.

Best British Short Film

The Flowers Stand Silently, Witnessing PP TL
Marion PP
Milk WL
Rock, Paper, Scissors WL
Stomach Bug TL

Wesley Lovell: I’ll have to guess with these. I haven’t seen any of them and none of them sound like an obvious winner.
Pete Patrick: Just guessing on this one. 
Thomas La Tourrette: No idea on this, so I am just guessing.

Rising Star Award

Nil
Marisa Abela TL
Jharrel Jerome WL
David Jonsson Nil
Mikey Madison WL PP TL
Nabhaan Rizwan Nil

Wesley Lovell: While Mikey Madison is nominated elsewhere, this prize is open to public voting so that someone like Jharrel Jerome or Marisa Abela might be able to pull off a win through exterior popularity. I wouldn’t count Madison out though.
Pete Patrick: (no runner-up selected, intentionally) If not the popular Mikey Madison, then I have no idea.
Thomas La Tourrette: I never know how BAFTA is going to vote on this award.

Best Casting

Anora WL
The Apprentice PP
A Complete Unknown PP TL
Conclave WL TL
Kneecap Nil

Wesley Lovell: There are cases to be made for all of these films winning but I’ll give the edge to Anora for putting together a fittingly-cast piece even if Conclave and A Complete Unknown have showier casts.
Pete Patrick: The real-life characters in A Complete Unknown and The Apprentice should prove irresistible. 
Thomas La Tourrette: Either A Complete Unknown or Conclave feel the most likely to win.

Best British Film

Bird Nil
Blitz Nil
Conclave WL PP TL
Gladiator II Nil
Hard Truths WL
Kneecap PP TL
Lee Nil
Love Lies Bleeding Nil
The Outrun Nil
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl Nil

Wesley Lovell: Conclave is the only film nominated in Best Film, so I expect it to win easily. Kneecap has a lot of nominations so it might as well but Hard Truths could surprise.
Pete Patrick: A double win for Conclave for Best Film and Best British Film is possible.  If not, Kneecap could win this one.
Thomas La Tourrette: Conclave is the likely winner unless they go for the Irish Kneecap.

Best Children’s & Family Film

Flow WL PP
Kensuke’s Kingdom Nil
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl TL
The Wild Robot WL PP TL

Wesley Lovell: With Flow a likely win for Best Animated Feature, I think they might be more inclined to give The Wild Robot the win here, opining it’s more of a kids movie.
Pete Patrick: Probably The Wild Robot, but Flow is entirely possible.
Thomas La Tourrette: In this category I could see The Wild Robot prevailing over Flow which felt like it was more geared towards adults.

Outstanding British Debut

Nil
Luna Carmoon – Hoard Nil
Karan Kandhari – Sister Midnight Nil
Dev Patel – Monkey Man WL PP
Rich Peppiatt – Kneecap WL PP
Sandhya Suri – Santosh Nil

Wesley Lovell: Kneecap has tons of nominations and is in the Best British Film category. I see no reason it shouldn’t win here as well. Dev Patel has name recognition, which might be the only reason he upsets.
Pete Patrick: Probably Peppiatt for the much-admired Kneecap but the popular Dev Pael could win for Monkey Man. 
Thomas La Tourrette: No commentary or predictions received prior to deadline. Will update once the informatino is received.