Although April may seem like it’s a bit too early for Oscar predictions, Sinners was in release at this time last year, so it’s entirely valid. Sure, a lot of films will come out in the last half of the year that will upend these predictions but for now, this is how we all see the race.

KEY:

Introductions

Wesley Lovell: I’m sure there are a lot of films we’ve yet to hear about that will make a play for Oscar nominations. For now, based on historical information, these are what my initial prediction thoughts are.
Pete Patrick: t’s way too early to make predictions with any level of certainty, but these are my early guesses based on subject matter and the reputations of the people involved.
Thomas LaTourette: At this point I know little about these movies as only Project Hail Mary has been released. I have seen previews for a few more, but many are totally unknown to me. So it is merely guesswork as to what might be nominated.

Best Picture

WLPPTL The Adventures of Cliff Booth
WLPPTL Clarissa
WLPPTL Cry to Heaven
WLPPTL Digger
WLPPTL Disclosure Day
WLPPTL Dune: Part Three
WLPPTL Fatherland
WLPPTL Fjord
WLPPTL Josephine
WLPPTL Michael
WLPPTL Narnia
WLPPTL No One Cares
WLPPTL The Odyssey
WLPPTL Project Hail Mary
WLPPTL Sense and Sensibility
WLPPTL The Social Reckoning
WLPPTL Tuner
WLPPTL Wild Horse Nine

Best Directing

WLPPTL Beth de Araujo – Josephine
WLPPTL Arie & Chuko Esiri – Clarissa
WLPPTL David Fincher – The Adventures of Cliff Booth
WLPPTL Greta Gerwig – Narnia
WLPPTL Alejandro G. Iñárritu – Digger
WLPPTL Martin McDonagh – Wild Horse Nine
WLPPTL Christian Mungiu – Fjord
WLPPTL Christopher Nolan – The Odyssey
WLPPTL Steven Spielberg – Disclosure Day
WLPPTL Denis Villeneuve – Dune: Part Three

Best Actor

WLPPTL Tom Cruise – Digger
WLPPTL Matt Damon – The Odyssey
WLPPTL Ryan Gosling – Project Hail Mary
WLPPTL Jafar Jackson – Michael
WLPPTL John Magaro – Omaha
WLPPTL John Malkovich – Wild Horse Nine
WLPPTL Josh O’Connor – Disclosure Day
WLPPTL David Oyelowo – Clarissa
WLPPTL Pedro Pascal – Behemoth!
WLPPTL Sam Rockwell – Wild Horse Nine
WLPPTL Sebastian Stan – Fjord
WLPPTL Hanns Zischler – Fatherland

Best Actress

WLPPTL Amy Adams – Klara and the Sun
WLPPTL Emily Blunt – Disclosure Day
WLPPTL Ayo Edebiri – Clarissa
WLPPTL Daisy Edgar-Jones – Sense and Sensibility
WLPPTL Cynthia Erivo – Prima Facie
WLPPTL Sandra Hüller – Fatherland
WLPPTL Sandra Hüller – Rose
WLPPTL Mikey Madison – The Social Reckoning
WLPPTL Julianne Moore – No One Cares
WLPPTL Sophie Okonedo – Clarissa
WLPPTL Renate Reinsve – Fjord
WLPPTL Michelle Williams – A Place in Hell
WLPPTL Cynthia Erivo – Prima Facie

Best Supporting Actor

WLPPTL Owen Cooper – Cry to Heaven
WLPPTL Colman Domingo – Michael
WLPPTL Paul Giamatti – No One Cares
WLPPTL John Goodman – Digger
WLPPTL Dustin Hoffman – Tuner
WLPPTL Tom Holland – The Odyssey
WLPPTL John Malkovich – Wild Horse Nine
WLPPTL Guy Pearce – Ink
WLPPTL Sam Rockwell – Wild Horse Nine
WLPPTL Jeremy Strong – The Social Reckoning
WLPPTL Channing Tatum – Josephine

Best Supporting Actress

WLPPTL Amelia Amarteifo – Clarissa
WLPPTL Caitriona Balfe – Sense and Sensibility
WLPPTL Gemma Chan – Josephine
WLPPTL Kerry Condon – Pressure
WLPPTL Emma D’Arcy – Digger
WLPPTL Elizabeth Debicki – The Adventures of Cliff Booth
WLPPTL Mariana di Girolamo – Wild Horse Nine
WLPPTL Anne Hathaway – The Odyssey
WLPPTL Sandra Hüller – Project Hail Mary
WLPPTL Angelina LookingGlass – The Rivals of Amziah King
WLPPTL Emma Mackey – Narnia
WLPPTL Parker Posey – Wild Horse Nine
WLPPTL Mason Reeves – Josephine
WLPPTL Meryl Streep – The Devil Wears Prada 2