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The Writers Guild of America may not be announcing until April but we can use the USC Scripter from this past weekend and all prior precursors for determining our Adapted Screenplay selections.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Winner Predictions

American Fiction WLPPTL
Barbie
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

Runner-Up Predictions

Barbie WL
Oppenheimer PPTL

(color and symbol key at bottom of page)

Wesley Lovell: While Oppenheimer has been leading all season, BAFTA and USC Scripter have come down on the side of American Fiction, which puts that film just in the lead. Barbie should have been running away with it and might still win but at this point, it seems like American Fiction has the edge.
Pete Patrick: There has been a lot of love shown for American Fiction lately, giving it last minute momentum over Oppenheimer. I think it will be enough to carry it the rest of the way for the win.
Thomas La Tourrette: For quite a while it looked like Oppenheimer would win this, along with a slew of other Oscars, though this was probably the least likely one it could win. Then when Barbie was moved from original to adapted screenplay and was not nominated for director or actress, I wondered if a show of support for that film would propel it to a win. That appears unlikely now. American Fiction keeps winning in this category, with major assists from BAFTA and now the USC Scripter award. It now looks likely that American Fiction will win this award.

KEY:

Appears on Four Lists
Appears on Three Lists
Appears on Two Lists
Appears on One Lists

Wesley Lovell Peter Patrick Tripp Burton Thomas LaTourrette